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The potential impact of nuclear conflict on ocean acidification Public

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https://test-scholar.colorado.edu/concern/articles/jh343t59m
Abstract
  • We demonstrate that the global cooling resulting from a range of nuclear conflict scenarios would temporarily increase the pH in the surface ocean by up to 0.06 units over a 5-year period, briefly alleviating the decline in pH associated with ocean acidification. Conversely, the global cooling dissolves atmospheric carbon into the upper ocean, driving a 0.1 to 0.3 unit decrease in the aragonite saturation state ( urn:x-wiley:grl:media:grl60147:grl60147-math-0001) that persists for urn:x-wiley:grl:media:grl60147:grl60147-math-000210 years. The peak anomaly in pH occurs 2 years post conflict, while the urn:x-wiley:grl:media:grl60147:grl60147-math-0003 anomaly peaks 4- to 5-years post conflict. The decrease in urn:x-wiley:grl:media:grl60147:grl60147-math-0004 would exacerbate a primary threat of ocean acidification: the inability of marine calcifying organisms to maintain their shells/skeletons in a corrosive environment. Our results are based on sensitivity simulations conducted with a state-of-the-art Earth system model integrated under various black carbon (soot) external forcings. Our findings suggest that regional nuclear conflict may have ramifications for global ocean acidification.

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Journal Issue/Number
  • 3
Journal Volume
  • 47
Last Modified
  • 2022-02-04
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  • 1944-8007
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